Some Opportunities in Dynamic Extended Range Forecasting Eugenia Kalnay, Ming Cai, and Malaquias Pena University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742

·     Exploit the 15 day operational NCEP ensembles

·     Increase the length of the ensembles to 30 days

·     Use multi-model ensembles

·     Exploit the DERF predictability due to initial conditions, SST and soil moisture in real time

·     Do routine SST and soil moisture anomaly experiments in real time

·     Improve the short-term coupled forecasts by minimizing growing errors in the initial conditions

·     (Improve the models!)