“Warm”
“Cold”
1) Regime change:The presence of red stars indicates that the next orbit will be the last one in the present regime.
2) Regime duration: One or two red stars, next regime will be short. Several red stars: the next regime will be long lasting.
Rules for a forecaster living in the Lorenz attractor (Evans et al, 2003)
BV Growth
over 8 steps:
* BVG>1.8
* BVG>1.1
*BVG>1.0
•BVG<1.0