UMD AOSC Seminar An Overview of the Current and Future NCEP Operational Modeling SuiteDr. William M. Lapenta Acting Director NOAA/NCEP Environmental Modeling Center The National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Environmental Modeling Center (NCEP/EMC) is developing significant improvements into NCEP’s operational forecast systems to increase both the scope and quality of NCEP’s products. Ranging from seasonal to interannual prediction and climate reanalysis to hourly rapid updates, NCEP/EMC has advanced the quality of its products and is ready to make further improvements through model enhancements and new computing resources. Forecast advances in global and regional atmospheric systems, real-time ocean and waves, hurricanes, air quality and hydrological applications will be described. Modernization of the NCEP production suite is underway with construction of a software framework compatible with the community-based Earth System Modeling Framework and development of ensemble-based postprocessing techniques for generation of probabilistic products. Work has begun on advanced data assimilation techniques and preparation for the advanced satellite and radar data is in progress. The seminar will provide an overview of the Environmental Modeling Center, a discussion on the current NCEP operational model suite and plans for the future.
Thursday, August 30, 2012 ***Special Reception: 3:00pm (Everyone Welcome)*** [Contact: Eugenia Kalnay / Jim Carton] AOSC494: Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Seminar AOSC 818: Frontiers in Atmosphere, Ocean, Climate, and Synoptic Meteorology Research |